Model: TIPPSA
Al Jahra – Al Naser SC
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.38
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 14, 2026 6:40 PM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 12d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=63
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=63
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12d 10h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Al Jahra | Al Naser SC |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L | W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Home/Away form | L (home) | W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.00 scored / 2.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 0.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 0.00 for / 5.00 against | 5.00 for / 0.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 0.00 for / 5.00 against (home) | 5.00 for / 0.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Al Naser SC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.08First seen
Current2.50Now
Max odds2.72Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Al Jahra – Al Naser SC Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample152
Win Rate38.8%
Profit-11.18u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
Pick
2 @ 2.38
Kickoff
Mag 14, 2026 6:40 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=63
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=63
Start
Started 12d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 12d 10h ago