Model: TIPPSH

Al Moqawloon Al Arab vs El Gounah

PREDICTION

@ 2.20

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 08, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 64d 18h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 65d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Al Moqawloon Al Arab. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Al Moqawloon Al Arab

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.15First seen

Current2.20Now

Max odds2.25Highest point

Min odds2.15Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Al Moqawloon Al ArabHOME

El GounahAWAY

WDDDW

Recent form

LDDWW

Avg goals scored

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.40

0.80

Shots on target for

4.40

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

4.80

Home splitW-D-D-W-W1.00 scored / 0.20 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-D-L0.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Egypt Division 1 (eg). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.20

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Al Moqawloon Al Arab's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -14.3% 7D: -19.2% 15D: -3.2% 30D: 10.9%

Model insight

Al Moqawloon Al Arab – El Gounah Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample222

Win Rate43.7%

Profit-17.72u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas	2.25	3.15%
LOSS	Nautico - EC Juventude	2.27	3.15%
WIN	Club Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez	2.41	2.49%
WIN	FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas	2.05	3.37%
WIN	Cuiaba - America MG	2.13	3.37%
LOSS	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	2.38	3.15%
LOSS	Jacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U20	2.30	2.49%
WIN	Internacional U20 - Gremio U20	1.99	3.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz	1	1.98	4.86%	09 May 13:00

Pick

1 @ 2.20

Kickoff

Mag 08, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.86% • n=299

Start

Started 64d 18h ago

Updated

Updated 65d 12h ago