Alamein FC (W) – Essendon Royals (W)

Model: TipTromba5H

Alamein FC (W) vs Essendon Royals (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 30, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarted 2h 20m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.05% · n=66
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.05% · n=66
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4h 30m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Alamein FC (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Alamein FC (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.00First seen
Current5.07Now
Max odds5.49Highest point
Min odds4.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Alamein FC (W)HOME
VS
Essendon Royals (W)AWAY
DLWWL
Recent form
LWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
3.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
0.80
Shots on target for
6.00
7.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
3.80
Home splitW-W-W-W-L1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitW-D-W-W3.75 scored / 0.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.05% based on n=66 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Victoria Cup Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.05% · n=66
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.05% · n=66
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 119.3% 7D: 13.2% 15D: 8.1% 30D: 0.1%
Model insight

Alamein FC (W) – Essendon Royals (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.05% and 4.05%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample25
Win Rate8.0%
Profit-16.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBangkok (W) - Chonburi FA (W)4.504.05%
LOSSBoston City FC - Boston Bolts4.504.05%
LOSSInternacional de Bogota (W) - America de Cali (W)4.504.05%
LOSSHubei Istar U20 - Shanghai Shenhua U204.753.53%
LOSSUS Amal Tiznit - Difaa El Jadida4.503.71%
LOSSThrottur Reykjavik - Breidablik4.503.87%
LOSSPolonia Nysa - Lechia Zielona Góra4.502.22%
LOSSPR San Juan - Puerto Rico Surf SC4.503.87%
Pick
1 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Giu 30, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.05% • n=66
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.05% • n=66
Start
Started 2h 20m ago
Updated
Updated 4h 30m ago
Torna in alto