Alftanes vs Arborg
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Alftanes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AlftanesValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.49. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 4 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Alftanes's attacking profile.
Alftanes – Arborg Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Wolaita Dicha - Ethio Electric FC | 2.32 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Central Espanol Reserves - Colon FC Reserves | 2.34 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Provincial Ovalle - Real Juventud San Joaquin | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Ullern U19 - Lillehammer U19 | 2.59 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | AC Colina - Brujas de Salamanca | 2.51 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Detroit City FC - Louisville City FC | 2.36 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Busan Trans Corp - Gyeongju HNP | 2.74 | 2.49% |
| WIN | The Gap NPL (W) - Mitchelton FC (W) | 2.31 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordic United FC - IK Oddevold | 1 | 2.60 | 2.49% | 27 Jun 17:00 |