Alianza vs Deportes Tolima
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Alianza. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AlianzaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.011 | A: 0.014Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.81. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.37% based on n=266 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Primera A (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Alianza's attacking profile.
Alianza – Deportes Tolima Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Belshina Bobruisk - FC Minsk | 2.96 | -2.37% |
| WIN | Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 2.82 | -2.37% |
| WIN | Aguilas Doradas - Independiente Santa Fe | 2.80 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Preston Lions | 2.96 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Kungsängens IF - Skiljebo SK | 2.82 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Panama (W) - Jamaica (W) | 2.80 | -2.37% |
| WIN | Atlantis - HIFK 2 | 2.77 | -2.37% |
| WIN | Anapolis FC - Paysandu | 3.00 | -2.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fram Reykjavik (W) - Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1 | 2.96 | -2.37% | 29 Jul 21:15 |