Almere City FC – FC Volendam

Model: TIPPSA

Almere City FC vs FC Volendam

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.23
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 15, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarted 20h 20m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 22h 22m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Volendam. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Volendam

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.70First seen
Current3.20Now
Max odds3.20Highest point
Min odds2.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Almere City FCHOME
VS
FC VolendamAWAY
LLLDW
Recent form
WLWLD
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.60
Shots on target for
5.40
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
3.00
Home splitL-W-W-W-L2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-D-W-L1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.23. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.23
V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for FC Volendam. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -82.0% 7D: -2.1% 15D: 18.2% 30D: 14.0%
Model insight

Almere City FC – FC Volendam Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.23. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.07% across 461 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample35
Win Rate37.1%
Profit+5.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAnapolis FC - Botafogo PB3.10-1.07%
LOSSAvai - Cuiaba3.20-1.07%
WINSao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude3.22-1.07%
LOSSTianjin Shengde (W) - Chongqing Olympic (W)3.43-0.79%
LOSSBelgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)3.02-1.07%
WINAcademia Puerto Cabello II - Zamora II3.15-1.07%
LOSSPSG - Arsenal3.12-1.07%
LOSSSiroki Brijeg U19 - FK Zvijezda 09 U193.15-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 3.23
Kickoff
Lug 15, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461
Start
Started 20h 20m ago
Updated
Updated 22h 22m ago
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