Tianjin Shengde (W) – Chongqing Olympic (W)

Model: TIPPSA

Tianjin Shengde (W) vs Chongqing Olympic (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.21
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 17, 2026 10:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 46d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Chongqing Olympic (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Chongqing Olympic (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

54/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current3.21Now
Max odds3.43Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tianjin Shengde (W)HOME
VS
Chongqing Olympic (W)AWAY
DLD
Recent form
DDDWL
Avg goals scored
0.67
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.20
Shots on target for
2.33
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
6.67
3.80
Home splitD1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-W-L1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.21. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.96% based on n=166 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China League One Women (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.21
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -12.5% 7D: -13.8% 15D: -5.0% 30D: 7.8%
Model insight

Tianjin Shengde (W) – Chongqing Olympic (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.21. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.96% across 166 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample34
Win Rate35.3%
Profit+5.82u
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WINShandong Taishan - Henan3.363.84%
LOSSUnion Berlin (W) - Hamburger SV (W)3.304.77%
LOSSWesterlo - KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk3.344.77%
LOSSLincoln Red Imps FC - Inter Club d'Escaldes3.304.77%
LOSSDodoma Jiji FC - JKT Tanzania3.054.96%
Pick
2 @ 3.21
Kickoff
Giu 17, 2026 10:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.96% • n=166
Start
Started 46d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 12h ago
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