Model: TIPPSA
Tianjin Shengde (W) – Chongqing Olympic (W)
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.21
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 17, 2026 10:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 7h 6m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9h 16m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Tianjin Shengde (W) | Chongqing Olympic (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-D | D-D-D-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.67 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | D (home) | D-D-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.33 for / 6.67 against | 3.20 for / 3.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 2.00 against (home) | 4.00 for / 3.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -53.0%
7D: -19.2%
15D: -6.1%
30D: 8.0%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current3.21Now
Max odds3.43Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Tianjin Shengde (W) – Chongqing Olympic (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.21. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.96% across 166 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample25
Win Rate40.0%
Profit+8.14u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Australia (W) - Mexico (W) | 3.44 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Santamarina Tandil - Kimberley Mar del Plata | 3.01 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Egypt - Russia | 3.27 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - SV Ried | 3.29 | 4.77% |
| WIN | America MG - Vila Nova | 3.33 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Widzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice | 3.28 | 4.77% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - CRB | 3.38 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | Iwaki FC - Matsumoto Y FC | 3.40 | 2.94% |
Pick
2 @ 3.21
Kickoff
Giu 17, 2026 10:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.96% • n=166
Start
Started 7h 6m ago
Updated
Updated 9h 16m ago