America MG vs Goias
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is America MG. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: America MGGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.049 | A: 0.174Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.93. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.37% based on n=266 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. America MG has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
America MG – Goias Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Preston Lions | 2.96 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Kungsängens IF - Skiljebo SK | 2.82 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Brazil (W) - USA (W) | 3.09 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Panama (W) - Jamaica (W) | 2.80 | -2.37% |
| WIN | Atlantis - HIFK 2 | 2.77 | -2.37% |
| WIN | Anapolis FC - Paysandu | 3.00 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Suva FC - Lautoka FC | 3.15 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | HERA United (W) - FC Utrecht (W) | 2.80 | -1.00% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCD - Cork City | 1 | 3.11 | -2.37% | 24 Jul 20:45 |
| Aguilas Doradas - Independiente Santa Fe | 1 | 2.80 | -2.37% | 26 Jul 23:05 |