UCD – Cork City

Model: TipTromba35H

UCD vs Cork City

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.20
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 24, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 23h
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.42% · n=195
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.42% · n=195
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is UCD. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: UCDGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.134 | A: -0.114

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.11First seen
Current3.20Now
Max odds3.20Highest point
Min odds3.11Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

UCDHOME
VS
Cork CityAWAY
WLLWL
Recent form
LLLWW
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.60
Defensive weakness
2.00
2.80
Shots on target for
5.40
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
5.00
Home splitW-L-W-L-W1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-W-W1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.20. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.42% based on n=195 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland First Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.20
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.42% · n=195
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.42% · n=195
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 43.2% 7D: 24.3% 15D: 17.5% 30D: 20.1%
Model insight

UCD – Cork City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.20. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.42% and 5.42%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample13
Win Rate76.9%
Profit+18.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINPollok - East Stirlingshire3.005.42%
WINPuerto Montt - Huachipato3.105.42%
WINPolissya Zhytomyr - Sabah3.005.42%
LOSSUjpest - Universitatea Cluj3.205.42%
WINWeston FC - FC Miami City3.105.42%
LOSS22 de Julio - Atletico FC Guayaquil3.005.42%
WINNasarawa Amazons (W) - Bayelsa Queens FC (W)3.205.42%
WINBK Fremad Valby (W) - Odense BK II (W)3.005.42%
Pick
1 @ 3.20
Kickoff
Lug 24, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.42% • n=195
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.42% • n=195
Start
Starts in 3d 23h
Updated
Updated 11m ago
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