Anderlecht – PAOK Salonika

Model: TipTromba35H

Anderlecht vs PAOK Salonika

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 13, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 14h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Anderlecht. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AnderlechtGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.032 | A: 0.004

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.91First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.00Highest point
Min odds2.91Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AnderlechtHOME
VS
PAOK SalonikaAWAY
WWWDW
Recent form
LWWLW
Avg goals scored
2.00
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.60
Shots on target for
3.80
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
4.60
Home splitW-W-W-D-W2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-D-L1.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Europa League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Anderlecht shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 2.5% 7D: 7.3% 15D: 10.0% 30D: 9.6%
Model insight

Anderlecht – PAOK Salonika Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.85% across 519 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample152
Win Rate32.9%
Profit+3.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFC Jazz - OLS3.103.85%
LOSSDesenzano - Giana Erminio3.103.85%
WINHPS (W) - KuPS (W)3.253.56%
WINParceiro Nagano - Renofa Yamaguchi3.254.14%
LOSSYeclano - FC Cartagena3.253.56%
LOSSSchalke - Atalanta3.002.17%
WINBreidablik (W) - Dinamo-BGU (W)3.102.17%
LOSSNyiregyhaza II - DEAC3.003.85%
Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Ago 13, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.85% • n=519
Start
Starts in 3d 14h
Updated
Updated 12m ago
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