Model: TipTromba4H

Apice Calcio 1964 vs Taranto

PREDICTION

@ 3.75

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 31, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 48d 20h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.84% · n=104

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.84% · n=104

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 50d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Apice Calcio 1964. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Apice Calcio 1964

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

57/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.75First seen

Current4.03Now

Max odds4.03Highest point

Min odds3.75Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Apice Calcio 1964HOME

TarantoAWAY

Recent form

LDW

Avg goals scored

2.00

0.67

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.67

Shots on target for

2.00

3.33

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

1.67

Home splitW2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-D0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.75. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.84% based on n=104 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Eccellenza (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.75

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.84% · n=104

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.84% · n=104

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 5.5% 7D: 13.1% 15D: 22.4% 30D: 9.8%

Model insight

Apice Calcio 1964 – Taranto Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.84% and 4.84%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample90

Win Rate33.3%

Profit+21.30u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Illawarra Stingrays (W) - NWS Spirit (W)	3.90	4.09%
LOSS	Annecy - FC Sion	3.90	4.09%
WIN	Hills United FC U20 - Hakoah Sydney City East U20	3.50	3.99%
WIN	Sagaing United FC U20 - Yadanarbon FC U20	3.75	4.09%
WIN	Stockport - Bristol City	3.75	4.09%
LOSS	Bedfont Sports - St Albans	3.80	4.09%
LOSS	Taichung Futuro - Naval	3.50	3.99%
LOSS	Central Cordoba SdE U20 - Atletico Tucuman U20	3.80	4.09%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Kaisar Kyzylorda (W) - Tomiris Turan (W)	1	3.75	4.84%	20 Jul 17:00

Pick

1 @ 3.75

Kickoff

Mag 31, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.84% • n=104

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.84% • n=104

Start

Started 48d 20h ago

Updated

Updated 50d 2h ago