Aragvi Dusheti – FC Gareji

Model: TipTromba35H

Aragvi Dusheti vs FC Gareji

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 61d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.30% · n=731
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 62d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Aragvi Dusheti. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Aragvi Dusheti

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.20First seen
Current3.20Now
Max odds3.20Highest point
Min odds3.20Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Aragvi DushetiHOME
VS
FC GarejiAWAY
LLWDW
Recent form
WWDWW
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.40
Shots on target for
3.60
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
3.20
Home splitL-W-W-L1.00 scored / 1.25 conceded
Away splitW-D-W-W-L1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.20. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.30% based on n=731 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Georgia First League (ge). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.20
V2 BandNONEROI -0.30% · n=731
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 7.8% 7D: -12.2% 15D: -3.5% 30D: 5.3%
Model insight

Aragvi Dusheti – FC Gareji Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.20. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.30% across 731 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample70
Win Rate28.6%
Profit-7.71u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCF Jaraiz - CD Badajoz3.10-0.30%
LOSSUrawa Red Diamonds - FC Tokyo3.00-0.30%
LOSSHodd - Sogndal3.08-0.30%
LOSSReal Noroeste Capixaba - Rio Branco ES3.20-0.30%
LOSSCavalier - Montego Bay Utd3.00-0.30%
WINBotev Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna3.10-0.30%
LOSSSlovan Liberec - Sparta Prague3.00-0.30%
WINMacarthur Rams (W) - Northern Tigers FC (W)3.20-0.30%
Pick
1 @ 3.20
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.30% • n=731
Start
Started 61d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 62d 15h ago
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