Ararat Armenia – Shamrock Rovers

Model: TIPPSA

Ararat Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.36
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 21, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 5h 5m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.84% · n=89
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.84% · n=89
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shamrock Rovers. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shamrock RoversGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.018

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.89First seen
Current3.47Now
Max odds3.48Highest point
Min odds2.78Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ararat ArmeniaHOME
VS
Shamrock RoversAWAY
LWDWW
Recent form
WWLWW
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.00
Shots on target for
3.40
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.20
3.80
Home splitW-W-L-W-W1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-L-W1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.36. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.84% based on n=89 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Champions League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.36
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.84% · n=89
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.84% · n=89
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Shamrock Rovers. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shamrock Rovers has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 37.0% 7D: 31.0% 15D: 15.3% 30D: 22.2%
Model insight

Ararat Armenia – Shamrock Rovers Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.36. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.84% and 3.84%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample40
Win Rate32.5%
Profit+3.72u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSUniversitatea Cluj - Farul Constanta3.503.84%
LOSSWesterlo - KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk3.344.77%
LOSSOstersunds FK - Landskrona BoIS3.604.77%
WINAnsan Greeners FC - Jinju Citizen FC3.523.84%
LOSSLincoln Red Imps FC - Inter Club d'Escaldes3.304.77%
LOSSGhana - Panama3.354.77%
LOSSAustralia (W) - Mexico (W)3.444.77%
LOSSEgypt - Russia3.274.77%
Pick
2 @ 3.36
Kickoff
Lug 21, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.84% • n=89
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.84% • n=89
Start
Starts in 5h 5m
Updated
Updated 8m ago
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