Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Arda Kardzhali. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Arda KardzhaliGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.007 | A: -0.013Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.83. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bulgaria First League (bg). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Arda Kardzhali. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.
Arda Kardzhali – Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Dinamo Samarqand - Xorazm Urganch | 1.76 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CD Antofagasta - Santiago Wanderers | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kairat Almaty (W) - Kaisar Kyzylorda (W) | 1.96 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Cruzeiro - Mirassol | 1.76 | 3.37% |
| WIN | BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000 | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Rennes - Brentford | 2.06 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Bayern Munich - Aston Villa | 1.92 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Beitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca | 1.95 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Man Utd - AC Milan | 1 | 1.91 | 3.37% | 15 Aug 16:45 |
| Al Taawon Buraidah - Al Khaleej Saihat | 1 | 1.80 | 3.37% | 15 Aug 18:15 |
| Orense - Deportivo Cuenca | 1 | 2.00 | 3.37% | 16 Aug 21:00 |