Model: TIPPSH

Orense vs Deportivo Cuenca

PREDICTION

@ 2.00

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 10h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7h 48m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Orense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: OrenseGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.104 | A: -0.055

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

OrenseHOME

Deportivo CuencaAWAY

DLLWL

Recent form

LLWLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.60

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.80

Shots on target for

3.60

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

5.60

Home splitL-W-L-L-L1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-L-D0.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.00

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 9.5% 7D: 15.6% 15D: 12.2% 30D: 11.5%

Model insight

Orense – Deportivo Cuenca Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample385

Win Rate49.9%

Profit-8.14u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Kairat Almaty (W) - Kaisar Kyzylorda (W)	1.96	3.37%
WIN	Cruzeiro - Mirassol	1.76	3.37%
LOSS	FC Spartak Velka Bites - TJ Tatran Bohunice	2.25	3.15%
WIN	BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000	1.75	3.37%
LOSS	LKS Drama Zbroslawice - Podlesianka Katowice	2.25	2.49%
LOSS	OFK Banik Lehota - OFK Malzenice	2.25	2.49%
LOSS	Rennes - Brentford	2.06	3.37%
WIN	Porthmadog - Rhyl	2.10	3.37%

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FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina	1	1.93	2.30%	10 May 19:00
CD Antofagasta - Santiago Wanderers	1	1.88	3.37%	13 Aug 02:30
Rostov - Rubin Kazan	1	2.20	3.37%	15 Aug 17:30
Al Taawon Buraidah - Al Khaleej Saihat	1	1.80	3.37%	15 Aug 18:15

Pick

1 @ 2.00

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

3.37% • n=795

Start

Starts in 4d 10h

Updated

Updated 7h 48m ago