La Luz vs Tacuarembo
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is La Luz. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: La LuzValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Segunda (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. La Luz has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
La Luz – Tacuarembo Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Botafogo PB - AD Confianca | 2.02 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) - Northern Tigers FC (W) | 2.20 | 1.04% |
| WIN | GAIS - Elfsborg | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II | 1.89 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1.97 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Figueirense - Volta Redonda | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 14 Jul 01:30 |
| Sao Bernardo SP - Avai | 1 | 1.96 | 1.31% | 18 Jul 00:00 |
| Club Atletico Temperley - Atletico Rafaela | 1 | 1.86 | 1.31% | 18 Jul 01:30 |
| Criciuma - Vila Nova | 1 | 1.76 | 1.31% | 18 Jul 21:00 |
| Rhode Island FC - Hartford Athletic | 1 | 1.76 | 1.31% | 19 Jul 01:30 |
| Charleston Battery - Sacramento Republic | 1 | 1.89 | 1.04% | 19 Jul 01:30 |