Model: TIPPSH

Arka Gdynia U19 vs Jagiellonia Bialystok U19

PREDICTION

@ 2.34

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 29, 2026 1:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 3h 51m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6h 1m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Arka Gdynia U19. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Arka Gdynia U19Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.027

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

37/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.25First seen

Current2.34Now

Max odds2.34Highest point

Min odds2.25Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Arka Gdynia U19HOME

Jagiellonia Bialystok U19AWAY

DWDD

Recent form

DWDLL

Avg goals scored

1.25

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.40

Shots on target for

8.50

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

6.00

7.60

Home splitD-W-D1.33 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-D-L-D-W1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.34. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland Youth League (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.34

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Arka Gdynia U19 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -7.2% 7D: 23.4% 15D: 14.4% 30D: 11.7%

Model insight

Arka Gdynia U19 – Jagiellonia Bialystok U19 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.34. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample247

Win Rate42.5%

Profit-6.39u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Slovan Bratislava U19 - MSK Zilina U19	2.45	3.15%
WIN	Freiburg (W) - Union Berlin (W)	2.33	2.49%
LOSS	SG Barockstadt - FSV Frankfurt	2.47	2.49%
LOSS	FC Gonio - FC Iberia 1999 II	2.25	2.49%
WIN	Vejle - Silkeborg IF	2.15	3.37%
WIN	Debreceni II - Egri FC	2.25	2.49%
LOSS	Eintracht Frankfurt (W) - PSG (W)	2.13	3.37%
LOSS	Union Saint Gilloise II - Union Rochefortoise	2.42	2.49%

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Pick

1 @ 2.34

Kickoff

Ago 29, 2026 1:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

2.49% • n=1025

Start

Started 3h 51m ago

Updated

Updated 6h 1m ago