Ascoli vs Carrarese
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Carrarese. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CarrareseGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.093 | A: -0.071Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.52. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.28% based on n=94 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie B (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Ascoli – Carrarese Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Celtic - LASK Linz | 4.67 | 0.28% |
| LOSS | Velez Sarsfield - Defensa y Justicia | 4.50 | 0.28% |
| LOSS | PSG - Aston Villa | 4.73 | 0.28% |
| LOSS | Coquimbo Unido (W) - Union Espanola (W) | 4.65 | 0.28% |