Ascoli – Carrarese

Model: TIPPSA

Ascoli vs Carrarese

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.52
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 29, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 1d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.28% · n=94
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Carrarese. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CarrareseGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.093 | A: -0.071

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

46/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.20First seen
Current4.52Now
Max odds4.53Highest point
Min odds4.09Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AscoliHOME
VS
CarrareseAWAY
DWLWL
Recent form
DLLWL
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.20
Shots on target for
3.00
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
2.60
Home splitD-W-L-W-W2.40 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-L-L0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.52. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.28% based on n=94 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie B (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.52
V2 BandLOWROI 0.28% · n=94
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -8.0% 7D: 15.9% 15D: 13.3% 30D: 10.7%
Model insight

Ascoli – Carrarese Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.52. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.28% across 94 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample5
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-5.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCeltic - LASK Linz4.670.28%
LOSSVelez Sarsfield - Defensa y Justicia4.500.28%
LOSSPSG - Aston Villa4.730.28%
LOSSCoquimbo Unido (W) - Union Espanola (W)4.650.28%
Pick
2 @ 4.52
Kickoff
Ago 29, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.28% • n=94
Start
Started 1d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 18h ago
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