Avellino – Vicenza

Model: TIPPSA

Avellino vs Vicenza

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.37
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 29, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 0
StartStarted 1d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.84% · n=89
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.84% · n=89
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Vicenza. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: VicenzaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.049 | A: -0.089

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current3.37Now
Max odds3.76Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AvellinoHOME
VS
VicenzaAWAY
WLLDL
Recent form
LWDDL
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
2.40
2.40
Shots on target for
4.20
5.60
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
5.80
Home splitW-L-D-W-W2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-W-L2.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.37. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.84% based on n=89 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie B (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.37
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.84% · n=89
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.84% · n=89
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Vicenza as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Vicenza is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -8.0% 7D: 15.9% 15D: 13.3% 30D: 10.7%
Model insight

Avellino – Vicenza Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.37. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.84% and 3.84%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample65
Win Rate32.3%
Profit+5.73u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCA Atlanta - San Martin SJ3.474.77%
LOSSSandvikens IF - Osters IF3.294.77%
WINFC Sion - Lugano3.274.77%
LOSSCompostela - CD Estradense3.454.77%
LOSSFC Volendam - FC Dordrecht3.254.77%
WINGazalkent - Fardu Ferghana3.534.77%
LOSSInter Club d'Escaldes - KF Drita3.593.84%
LOSSClub Ciudad de Bolivar - Racing de Cordoba3.423.84%
Pick
2 @ 3.37
Kickoff
Ago 29, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.84% • n=89
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.84% • n=89
Start
Started 1d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 19h ago
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