Aubagne Air Bel – Caen

Model: TIPPSA

Aubagne Air Bel – Caen

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.39
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 15, 2026 9:30 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 1
StartStarted 11d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 9h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Aubagne Air Bel Caen
Last 5 form W-D-L-L-L L-D-W-W-W
Avg goals scored 1.20 1.80
Avg goals conceded 1.80 0.60
Home/Away form W-L-L-D (home) L-W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.25 scored / 1.50 conceded 2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 3.40 for / 5.00 against 5.60 for / 4.00 against
Home/Away shots on target 3.50 for / 4.00 against (home) 5.00 for / 5.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Caen is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.28First seen
Current2.25Now
Max odds2.28Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight

Aubagne Air Bel – Caen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.39. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample152
Win Rate38.8%
Profit-11.18u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
LOSSLobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves2.182.63%
LOSSNK Radomlje - NS Mura2.554.13%
LOSSRadnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka2.182.63%
LOSSADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W)2.254.13%
WINHelsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC2.634.13%
WINGuayaquil City - Orense2.483.59%
LOSSAFC Hermannstadt - FCSB2.263.31%
Pick
2 @ 2.39
Kickoff
Mag 15, 2026 9:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 11d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 9h ago
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