Aurora vs Guastatoya
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Guastatoya. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: GuastatoyaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.10. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.82% based on n=246 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Guatemala Liga Nacional (gt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Guastatoya shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Guastatoya has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Aurora – Guastatoya Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Argentino de Rosario - Puerto Nuevo | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Viettel U21 - PVF-CAND U21 | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | FK Kyzylzhar (W) - FC Elimai Semey (W) | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Villa Nova - Valeriodoce EC | 2.88 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Salam Zgharta - Risaleh Toura | 3.10 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Cianorte - ASA | 3.10 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Botafogo RJ U20 - Santos U20 | 3.20 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Club Highland Players - CD Rio San Juan Humi | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Groningen - FC Volendam | 2 | 3.00 | 5.52% | 24 Jul 14:00 |
| River Plate Asuncion - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2 | 3.00 | 5.52% | 24 Jul 15:00 |
| SV Lafnitz - USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth | 2 | 2.90 | 5.52% | 24 Jul 19:00 |
| Adelaide United NPL - Sturt Lions | 2 | 3.10 | 5.52% | 25 Jul 07:30 |
| SE Gama - America RN | 2 | 3.20 | 5.52% | 26 Jul 21:00 |