Avispa Fukuoka – Urawa Red Diamonds

Model: TIPPSH

Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.92
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 02, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 3
StartStarted 3h 3m ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.96% · n=84
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.96% · n=84
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Avispa Fukuoka. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Avispa FukuokaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.124 | A: -0.020

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

62/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.92Now
Max odds2.92Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Avispa FukuokaHOME
VS
Urawa Red DiamondsAWAY
LLDDL
Recent form
WWWLL
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
2.20
Shots on target for
6.40
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
6.00
Home splitL-D-D-W-L1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-D-L1.60 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.92. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.96% based on n=84 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J-League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.92
V2 BandHIGHROI 7.96% · n=84
V4 BandHIGHROI 7.96% · n=84
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Avispa Fukuoka is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 12.2% 7D: 2.9% 15D: 17.4% 30D: 7.4%
Model insight

Avispa Fukuoka – Urawa Red Diamonds Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.92. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.96% and 7.96%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample13
Win Rate15.4%
Profit-7.03u
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LOSSAthlone Town - UCD2.827.96%
LOSSParaguay - Australia2.917.96%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
FC Emmen - FC Volendam12.907.96%04 Sep 20:00
Pick
1 @ 2.92
Kickoff
Set 02, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.96% • n=84
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.96% • n=84
Start
Started 3h 3m ago
Updated
Updated 5h 5m ago
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