Baltyk Koszalin – Flota Swinoujscie

Model: TipTromba35H

Baltyk Koszalin vs Flota Swinoujscie

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.08
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 1d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Baltyk Koszalin. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Baltyk KoszalinGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.024 | A: -0.045

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.38First seen
Current3.14Now
Max odds3.14Highest point
Min odds2.38Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Baltyk KoszalinHOME
VS
Flota SwinoujscieAWAY
LDLWW
Recent form
WWLLD
Avg goals scored
1.40
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
3.60
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
7.60
5.40
Home splitL-L-W-W1.50 scored / 1.75 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-W-L1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.08. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland III Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.08
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -21.3% 7D: -18.9% 15D: 1.5% 30D: 3.8%
Model insight

Baltyk Koszalin – Flota Swinoujscie Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.08. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.85% across 519 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample197
Win Rate30.5%
Profit-9.32u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSBulls FC Academy - Northern Tigers3.103.85%
LOSSBoroondara Eagles (W) - Bulleen Lions (W)3.103.85%
LOSSEl Nacional - San Antonio FC Cotacachi3.203.85%
WINEast Bengal Club - Al Arabi SC3.003.85%
LOSSAldershot - Hartlepool3.254.14%
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Pick
1 @ 3.08
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.85% • n=519
Start
Started 1d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 11h ago
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