Bolton – West Ham

Model: TipTromba5H

Bolton vs West Ham

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 08, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 3
StartStarted 2d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.13% · n=87
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.13% · n=87
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bolton. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BoltonGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.150 | A: 0.123

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

42/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.09First seen
Current4.75Now
Max odds5.75Highest point
Min odds4.09Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BoltonHOME
VS
West HamAWAY
LLLLD
Recent form
WWWDW
Avg goals scored
0.80
3.00
Defensive weakness
2.20
1.20
Shots on target for
4.60
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
3.80
Home splitL-L-W-W-D1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-W-D-D2.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.13% based on n=87 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Championship (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.75
V2 BandNONEROI -1.13% · n=87
V4 BandNONEROI -1.13% · n=87
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 3.6% 7D: 17.3% 15D: 12.8% 30D: 8.1%
Model insight

Bolton – West Ham Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.13% and -1.13%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample50
Win Rate12.0%
Profit-21.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBarquisimeto - Caracas4.75-0.67%
LOSSAtlante (W) - Juarez FC (W)4.75-0.67%
LOSSAFC Fylde Women - Liverpool Feds (W)4.75-1.13%
LOSSDanubio - Penarol4.75-0.67%
LOSSRathfriland Rangers - Institute4.75-0.67%
LOSSHapoel Bnei Jat United - Hapoel Ironi Karmiel4.75-1.13%
LOSSAtlantico FC - Cibao FC4.75-1.13%
LOSSOrsomarso (W) - America de Cali (W)4.75-0.67%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Carapebus/Campos - Duque de Caxias FC14.75-0.67%11 Sep 19:45
Pecsi MFC - Tiszakecske FC14.75-0.67%12 Sep 17:00
Pick
1 @ 4.75
Kickoff
Set 08, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.13% • n=87
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.13% • n=87
Start
Started 2d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 4d 13h ago
Torna in alto