Model: TIPPSA
Barrow – Newport County
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.35
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 24d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Barrow | Newport County |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-W-L | W-W-L-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-W-L (home) | W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.25 scored / 2.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.80 for / 6.40 against | 5.20 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 5.50 against (home) | 2.67 for / 5.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Newport County. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Newport County's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.80First seen
Current2.45Now
Max odds2.80Highest point
Min odds2.37Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Barrow – Newport County Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample144
Win Rate41.0%
Profit-5.24u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
Pick
2 @ 2.35
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 24d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 11h ago