Leyton Orient – Burton Albion

Model: TIPPSA

Leyton Orient – Burton Albion

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.21
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 39d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.37% · n=115
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.23% · n=45
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 39d 14h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Leyton Orient Burton Albion
Last 5 form D-L-L-D-L D-D-D-W-D
Avg goals scored 0.60 1.00
Avg goals conceded 1.40 0.80
Home/Away form D-L-D-L (home) D-D-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 2.40 for / 5.80 against 4.40 for / 2.60 against
Home/Away shots on target 2.00 for / 4.50 against (home) 4.33 for / 3.67 against (away)

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Burton Albion shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Burton Albion's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -12.1% 7D: -1.6% 15D: 0.6% 30D: 10.5%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.90First seen
Current4.30Now
Max odds4.30Highest point
Min odds3.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Leyton Orient – Burton Albion Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.21. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.37% across 115 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.23% across 45 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample7
Win Rate28.6%
Profit+1.24u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINIFK Norrkoping (W) - Eskilstuna Utd (W)4.245.37%
LOSSLDU Quito - SD Aucas3.965.37%
WINMFK Zvolen - Slovan Bratislava B4.005.37%
LOSSFram Reykjavik - Keflavik4.235.37%
LOSSZnicz Pruszkow U19 - Resovia Rzeszow U194.035.37%
LOSSPSM Makassar - Persis Solo4.025.37%
Pick
2 @ 4.21
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.37% • n=115
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.23% • n=45
Start
Started 39d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 39d 14h ago
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