BATE Borisov – AF Elbasani

Model: TIPPSA

BATE Borisov vs AF Elbasani

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.18
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 16, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 14h 43m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17h 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is AF Elbasani. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AF Elbasani

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

24/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.16First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.23Highest point
Min odds2.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BATE BorisovHOME
VS
AF ElbasaniAWAY
DDLLL
Recent form
DDLWW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
2.60
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
4.40
Home splitD-L-L-D-D0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-W-L1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.18. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.84% based on n=515 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Conference League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.18
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. AF Elbasani has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 12.6% 7D: 4.9% 15D: 9.5% 30D: 18.4%
Model insight

BATE Borisov – AF Elbasani Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.18. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.84% across 515 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample39
Win Rate46.2%
Profit-0.66u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINPuskas Academy - Istanbul Basaksehir2.03-0.84%
WINKelty Hearts - Queen's Park2.20-0.84%
LOSSDrogheda United - Shelbourne2.06-0.84%
WINFenix - Leones de Rosario2.14-0.84%
LOSSMoreton City Excelsior (W) - Palm Beach SC (W)2.13-0.84%
WINHPS - Kiffen2.22-0.84%
WINOlimpia Elblag II - DKS Dobre Miasto2.08-0.84%
LOSSPanama - Bosnia-Herzegovina2.14-0.84%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
FC Nordsjaelland - Sparta Prague22.17-0.84%17 Jul 12:00
Pick
2 @ 2.18
Kickoff
Lug 16, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Start
Started 14h 43m ago
Updated
Updated 17h 13m ago
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