Brighton vs Bologna
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Brighton. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: BrightonGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.016 | A: -0.017Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Brighton has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Brighton – Bologna Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bradford - Peterborough | 1.65 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Salisbury Inter (W) - West Torrens Birkalla (W) | 1.63 | -9.89% |
| WIN | Zweigen Kanazawa - Fukushima Utd | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Ruch Chorzow - Lechia Gdansk | 1.62 | -6.04% |
| WIN | KSZO Ostrowiec - Korona Kielce II | 1.64 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki - Zabkovia Zabki | 1.70 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Shaanxi Union - Changchun Yatai | 1.66 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Sporting Gijon B - Cultural Leonesa B | 1.71 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Ilves (W) - IF Gnistan (W) | 1 | 1.67 | -7.35% | 15 Aug 14:00 |
| Chelsea - Real Sociedad | 1 | 1.63 | -9.21% | 15 Aug 15:00 |
| Macclesfield - Radcliffe FC | 1 | 1.63 | -9.21% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| Bury - Warrington Rylands | 1 | 1.70 | -7.35% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| JK Trans Narva II - Johvi FC Phoenix | 1 | 1.67 | -9.89% | 15 Aug 18:00 |
| Sindri - FC Arbaer | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 15 Aug 18:00 |