Bergantinos vs Lugo
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Bergantinos. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: BergantinosGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.113 | A: 0.041Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.10. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.01% based on n=821 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Bergantinos has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Bergantinos – Lugo Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Workington - Redcar Athletic | 3.02 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Bnei Raina | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | CSD Amatitlan - Quiche FC | 3.20 | 0.01% |
| WIN | FK Bokelj - Sutjeska Niksic | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| WIN | AD Marco 09 - Pacos Ferreira | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Polissya Zhytomyr II - FC Metalist Kharkiv | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Oita - Shonan Bellmare | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | VVV - Heracles | 3.20 | 0.01% |