Workington – Redcar Athletic

Model: TipTromba35H

Workington vs Redcar Athletic

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.02
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 11, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarted 1h 2m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Workington. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: WorkingtonGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.073 | A: -0.031

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.53First seen
Current3.02Now
Max odds3.02Highest point
Min odds2.53Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

WorkingtonHOME
VS
Redcar AthleticAWAY
LWWLL
Recent form
DWLL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.25
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.00
Shots on target for
3.00
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
8.00
Home splitW-L-D2.00 scored / 0.67 conceded
Away splitN/AN/A scored / N/A conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.02. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.01% based on n=821 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Northern Premier League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.02
V2 BandLOWROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Workington. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -21.0% 7D: 13.4% 15D: 11.7% 30D: 11.1%
Model insight

Workington – Redcar Athletic Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.02. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.01% across 821 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample103
Win Rate26.2%
Profit-19.96u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHapoel Afula - Maccabi Bnei Raina3.000.01%
LOSSCSD Amatitlan - Quiche FC3.200.01%
WINFK Bokelj - Sutjeska Niksic3.000.01%
WINAD Marco 09 - Pacos Ferreira3.100.01%
LOSSPolissya Zhytomyr II - FC Metalist Kharkiv3.000.01%
LOSSOita - Shonan Bellmare3.000.01%
LOSSVVV - Heracles3.200.01%
LOSSYokohama F-Marinos - Kashima Antlers3.200.01%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Bergantinos - Lugo13.100.01%12 Aug 11:30
Pick
1 @ 3.02
Kickoff
Ago 11, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.01% • n=821
Start
Started 1h 2m ago
Updated
Updated 3h 11m ago
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