Betlemi – FC Margveti 2006

Model: TipA1

Betlemi vs FC Margveti 2006

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 10, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 5
StartStarted 16h 49m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Margveti 2006. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Margveti 2006Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.105 | A: -0.050

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

12/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.80First seen
Current2.10Now
Max odds2.30Highest point
Min odds1.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BetlemiHOME
VS
FC Margveti 2006AWAY
LLLLL
Recent form
WLWDD
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.80
Defensive weakness
5.40
1.00
Shots on target for
1.80
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
8.00
4.40
Home splitL-L-D-W0.75 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-W-L-L2.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.85% based on n=318 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Georgia Liga 3 (ge). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.10
V2 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318
V4 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. FC Margveti 2006 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -28.5% 7D: 0.0% 15D: 1.0% 30D: 4.8%
Model insight

Betlemi – FC Margveti 2006 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.85% and -3.85%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample286
Win Rate50.7%
Profit+15.75u
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WINHPS - PPJ2.15-3.85%
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Pick
2 @ 2.10
Kickoff
Set 10, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.85% • n=318
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.85% • n=318
Start
Started 16h 49m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 4h ago
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