Hapoel Ironi Arraba – Beitar Nahariya

Model: TIPPSA

Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Beitar Nahariya

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.29
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 06, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 7h 30m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.09% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9h 38m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Beitar Nahariya. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Beitar NahariyaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

21/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.41Now
Max odds2.41Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hapoel Ironi ArrabaHOME
VS
Beitar NahariyaAWAY
L
Recent form
W
Avg goals scored
0.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.00
Shots on target for
0.00
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
0.00
Home splitL0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.29. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.09% based on n=286 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Israel Liga Alef North (il). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.29
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandNONEROI -2.09% · n=286
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Beitar Nahariya's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -2.7% 7D: 8.1% 15D: 10.2% 30D: 5.4%
Model insight

Hapoel Ironi Arraba – Beitar Nahariya Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.29. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.09% across 286 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample161
Win Rate45.3%
Profit+1.66u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCA Celeste - Nexus Miyakonojo2.360.84%
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WINLimavady United - Dungannon Swifts2.171.21%
LOSSAriana FC Malmo - Atvidabergs FF2.520.84%
WINShonan Bellmare - Vegalta Sendai2.460.84%
WINSt. James Swifts (W) - Greenisland (W)2.051.21%
LOSSShimizu S-Pulse - FC Tokyo2.061.21%
WINVanraure Hachinohe - Tochigi City2.330.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.29
Kickoff
Set 06, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.09% • n=286
Start
Started 7h 30m ago
Updated
Updated 9h 38m ago
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