Model: TipA1
BFA Vilnius – FK Garliava
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.05
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 19, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 7d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.03% · n=125
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.03% · n=125
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7d 18h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | BFA Vilnius | FK Garliava |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-L-W | L-W-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-L-W-W (home) | L-W-W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 1.80 conceded | 1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.80 for / 4.00 against | 6.40 for / 2.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 3.75 against (home) | 4.50 for / 3.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors FK Garliava. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. FK Garliava is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.15First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds2.15Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
BFA Vilnius – FK Garliava Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.03% and 1.03%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample16
Win Rate43.8%
Profit-0.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | North Texas SC - The Town | 2.30 | 1.02% |
| WIN | Sorrento U23 - Olympic Kingsway U23 | 2.00 | 1.03% |
| LOSS | Wynnum Wolves - Brisbane Olympic FC | 2.25 | 1.02% |
| LOSS | Rio Negro RR (W) - Ceara (W) | 2.25 | 1.02% |
| WIN | Maitland FC Reserves - Cooks Hill United Reserves | 2.30 | 1.17% |
| WIN | HIFK - JaPS | 2.25 | 1.17% |
| LOSS | LePa - NuPS | 2.25 | 1.17% |
| LOSS | Guillermo Brown - Club Villa Mitre | 2.30 | 1.17% |
Pick
2 @ 2.05
Kickoff
Mag 19, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.03% • n=125
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.03% • n=125
Start
Started 7d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 7d 18h ago