Model: TIPPSH

Pocheon Citizen FC vs Daejeon Korail

PREDICTION

@ 2.20

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 25, 2026 1:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 22h 53m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Pocheon Citizen FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Pocheon Citizen FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.20First seen

Current2.20Now

Max odds2.20Highest point

Min odds2.16Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Pocheon Citizen FCHOME

Daejeon KorailAWAY

LDWWW

Recent form

LLWWD

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.20

Shots on target for

7.00

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

3.20

Home splitW-W-D-D-W2.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-L-D1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to South Korea K3 League (kr). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.20

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Pocheon Citizen FC a useful statistical edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Pocheon Citizen FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 12.8% 7D: 34.4% 15D: 20.0% 30D: 25.8%

Model insight

Pocheon Citizen FC – Daejeon Korail Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample301

Win Rate48.5%

Profit+11.80u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Deportivo Cali (W) - America de Cali (W)	2.25	1.59%
WIN	Zhejiang Hangzhou B (W) - Guangdong Yue Zhan (W)	2.33	1.59%
WIN	RB Keflavik - KB Breidholt	1.96	1.04%
LOSS	FK Sloga Doboj - Ajman SCC	2.20	1.04%
LOSS	RAAL La Louviere - Kifisias FC	2.20	1.04%
LOSS	United Kolkata SC - Bhawanipore FC	2.43	1.59%
LOSS	Kedah FA U20 - Touchtronics FC U20	2.43	1.59%
WIN	Hajduk Split - Pafos FC	2.26	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.20

Kickoff

Lug 25, 2026 1:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.63% • n=470

Start

Starts in 22h 53m

Updated

Updated 10m ago