Model: TIPPSH
Bohemians Dublin – Derry City
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 01, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 39d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=212
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=212
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 39d 14h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Bohemians Dublin | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-L-L-D | D-W-W-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-D (home) | D-W-D-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.33 conceded | 1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.60 for / 2.80 against | 3.40 for / 3.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.67 for / 1.33 against (home) | 3.40 for / 4.60 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Bohemians Dublin is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -31.5%
7D: -1.9%
15D: -0.2%
30D: 10.8%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.85First seen
Current1.90Now
Max odds1.94Highest point
Min odds1.84Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Bohemians Dublin – Derry City Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.31% and 4.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample290
Win Rate50.7%
Profit-6.57u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Congo DR - Chile | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Blacktown City U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 | 2.00 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Quilmes Reserves - Deportivo Riestra Reserves | 2.15 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Real Sociedad (W) - Atletico Madrid (W) | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | IR Reykjavik - IF Vestri | 2.10 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC - Sacramento Republic | 1 | 1.97 | 3.37% | 14 Jun 03:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.90
Kickoff
Mag 01, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.31% • n=212
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.31% • n=212
Start
Started 39d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 39d 14h ago