Model: TIPPSH
Quilmes Reserves vs Deportivo Riestra Reserves
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.09
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 02, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 47d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 23h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Quilmes Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Quilmes ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
30/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.18First seen
Current2.09Now
Max odds2.18Highest point
Min odds2.06Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quilmes ReservesHOME
VS
Deportivo Riestra ReservesAWAY
WWLLL
Recent form
LLLDW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.60
Shots on target for
3.00
2.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.40
Home splitW-W-L-L-W1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-L-L1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.09. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.09
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -32.5%
7D: -2.3%
15D: 18.7%
30D: 12.5%
Model insight
Quilmes Reserves – Deportivo Riestra Reserves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.09. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample342
Win Rate48.2%
Profit-3.07u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U20 | 2.24 | 1.04% |
| WIN | South East United FC - Launceston United | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| WIN | St Pauli - HNK Gorica | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Marconi Stallions U20 - Sydney United 58 U20 | 2.23 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Kaisar Kyzylorda - FK Kaspyi Aktau | 1.96 | 1.31% |
| WIN | JK Tallinna Kalev - JK Nomme United II | 1.90 | 1.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Al Ansar Beirut - Al Nejmeh | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 20 Jul 20:30 |
| Jeonbuk Motors - Daejeon Hana Citizen | 1 | 1.98 | 1.04% | 21 Jul 12:30 |
| Macara - Deportivo Cuenca | 1 | 2.01 | 1.04% | 22 Jul 21:00 |
| Athletic Club MG - Sao Bernardo SP | 1 | 2.14 | 1.04% | 24 Jul 00:30 |
| AaB - Hillerød | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 24 Jul 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.09
Kickoff
Giu 02, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 47d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 23h ago