Boldmere St Michaels vs Carlton Town
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Boldmere St Michaels. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Boldmere St MichaelsGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.011 | A: -0.167Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.05% based on n=66 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Northern League Division One (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Boldmere St Michaels shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Boldmere St Michaels has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Boldmere St Michaels – Carlton Town Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Amical Saint-Prex - AC Bellinzona | 4.75 | 3.53% |
| LOSS | Modbury Vista (W) - West Torrens Birkalla (W) | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| LOSS | CS Sanatatea Cluj - Unirea Alba Iulia | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| WIN | Bronshoj BK - HB Køge | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| WIN | Sawmer SC - Rangdajied United FC | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| LOSS | SK Steti - Varnsdorf | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| WIN | Fortaleza CEIF (W) - Independiente Medellin (W) | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| LOSS | Al Ahli Jeddah - Fulham | 4.50 | 4.05% |