Sestri Levante – FC Vado

Model: TIPPSH

Sestri Levante vs FC Vado

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.90
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 10, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3h 38m
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.56% · n=52
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.56% · n=52
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sestri Levante. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sestri LevanteGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.063 | A: 0.197

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

61/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.85First seen
Current4.08Now
Max odds5.94Highest point
Min odds4.08Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sestri LevanteHOME
VS
FC VadoAWAY
DLLLL
Recent form
LLWLW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.80
2.20
Shots on target for
5.00
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
6.60
Home splitL-L-W2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-W-W2.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.90. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.56% based on n=52 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.90
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.56% · n=52
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.56% · n=52
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Sestri Levante's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 2.5% 7D: 3.7% 15D: 10.3% 30D: 9.6%
Model insight

Sestri Levante – FC Vado Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.56% and 5.56%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample9
Win Rate22.2%
Profit-1.15u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBjelovar - NK Krizevci3.795.87%
WINMlada Boleslav - Sparta Prague4.035.87%
LOSSGyeongnam FC - Daegu FC4.055.56%
LOSSFK Bumprom - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk3.945.87%
LOSSGuangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan4.115.87%
LOSSLyn 1896 U19 - Molde U193.905.87%
WINHUSA Agadir - RSB Berkane3.825.87%
LOSSEl Salvador (W) - Costa Rica (W)3.707.69%
Pick
1 @ 3.90
Kickoff
Ago 10, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.56% • n=52
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.56% • n=52
Start
Starts in 3h 38m
Updated
Updated 15m ago
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