Model: TIPPSH

Bolton vs Bradford

PREDICTION

@ 1.87

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 09, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 86d ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 86d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bolton. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BoltonGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

40/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.85First seen

Current1.90Now

Max odds1.91Highest point

Min odds1.82Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BoltonHOME

BradfordAWAY

WLDDW

Recent form

LWDDD

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.20

Shots on target for

5.40

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

2.80

Home splitW-L-D-W-D2.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-W1.50 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.87. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England League 1 (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.87

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Bolton is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 11.9% 7D: -5.4% 15D: -2.2% 30D: 5.1%

Model insight

Bolton – Bradford Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.87. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample304

Win Rate52.0%

Profit-0.29u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Beitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca	1.95	3.37%
WIN	Sekhukhune United FC - Durban City	1.88	3.37%
LOSS	Feyenoord - Rayo Vallecano	2.08	3.37%
WIN	Ajax - Burnley	2.04	3.37%
WIN	CD Universidad San Martin - Carlos Manucci	2.10	3.37%
WIN	Ponte Preta U20 - Uniao Suzano AC U20	1.81	3.37%
WIN	Queen's Park - Queen of South	2.01	3.37%
WIN	Ljungskile - Sandvikens IF	1.94	3.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz	1	1.98	4.86%	09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina	1	1.93	2.30%	10 May 19:00

Pick

1 @ 1.87

Kickoff

Mag 09, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.86% • n=299

Start

Started 86d ago

Updated

Updated 86d 2h ago