Model: TIPPSH

Bonner SC vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen

PREDICTION

@ 3.89

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 31, 2026 9:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarted 16h 34m ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.87% · n=129

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.25% · n=12

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 18h 44m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bonner SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bonner SCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

63/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.74First seen

Current4.12Now

Max odds4.12Highest point

Min odds3.74Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bonner SCHOME

Rot-Weiss OberhausenAWAY

LLLWW

Recent form

WLLLD

Avg goals scored

4.20

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.80

2.20

Shots on target for

3.67

3.33

SoT conceded pressure

3.67

9.33

Home splitL-L-L-L-D1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-W-D2.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.89. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.25% based on n=12 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Germany Regionalliga West (de). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.89

V2 BandHIGHROI 5.87% · n=129

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.25% · n=12

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -36.7% 7D: -16.2% 15D: 7.9% 30D: 8.7%

Model insight

Bonner SC – Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.89. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.87% and 6.25%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample6

Win Rate16.7%

Profit-2.18u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Bumprom - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	3.94	5.87%
LOSS	Guangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan	4.11	5.87%
LOSS	Lyn 1896 U19 - Molde U19	3.90	5.87%
WIN	HUSA Agadir - RSB Berkane	3.82	5.87%
LOSS	El Salvador (W) - Costa Rica (W)	3.70	7.69%
LOSS	Club 9 de Octubre - Manta FC	3.70	7.69%

Pick

1 @ 3.89

Kickoff

Lug 31, 2026 9:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 5.87% • n=129

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.25% • n=12

Start

Started 16h 34m ago

Updated

Updated 18h 44m ago