Brechin – Stenhousemuir

Model: TipTromba9H

Brechin vs Stenhousemuir

PREDICTION
1
@ 8.50
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 18, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 1h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -6.05% · n=54
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2h 44m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Brechin. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Brechin

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds6.50First seen
Current8.50Now
Max odds8.50Highest point
Min odds6.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BrechinHOME
VS
StenhousemuirAWAY
LLDLW
Recent form
WLWDD
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.60
Defensive weakness
2.80
1.00
Shots on target for
4.00
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
8.50
4.20
Home splitL-D-W-W1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-W-L1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 8.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -6.05% based on n=54 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd8.50
V2 BandNONEROI -6.05% · n=54
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 21.7% 7D: 4.2% 15D: 5.1% 30D: 18.6%
Model insight

Brechin – Stenhousemuir Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 8.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba9H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -6.05% across 54 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample28
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-28.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSLendorf - Atus Velden8.50-7.07%
LOSSCork City - Cardiff8.50-7.07%
LOSSLeamington - Walsall8.50-6.42%
LOSSAnnan Athletic - Ross County8.50-6.42%
LOSSSC Eltersdorf - Greuther Furth8.50-6.42%
LOSSNSA Sofia (W) - Ludogorets Razgrad (W)8.50-6.05%
LOSSHertha Wels - LASK Linz8.50-6.05%
LOSSYangon City U20 - Yangon United FC U208.50-6.05%
Pick
1 @ 8.50
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -6.05% • n=54
Start
Starts in 1d 1h
Updated
Updated 2h 44m ago
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