NSA Sofia (W) – Ludogorets Razgrad (W)

Model: TipTromba9H

NSA Sofia (W) vs Ludogorets Razgrad (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 8.50
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 27, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 19h 4m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -6.05% · n=54
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NSA Sofia (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NSA Sofia (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.10First seen
Current8.90Now
Max odds8.90Highest point
Min odds3.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NSA Sofia (W)HOME
VS
Ludogorets Razgrad (W)AWAY
DLLWW
Recent form
W
Avg goals scored
1.20
4.00
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
7.50
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
5.00
Home splitL-L-W-W-W2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW4.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 8.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -6.05% based on n=54 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bulgaria Cup Women (bg). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd8.50
V2 BandNONEROI -6.05% · n=54
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to NSA Sofia (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 8.6% 7D: -11.7% 15D: -7.0% 30D: -2.8%
Model insight

NSA Sofia (W) – Ludogorets Razgrad (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 8.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba9H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -6.05% across 54 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample21
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-21.00u
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LOSSMungyeong Sangmu Women - Suwon FMC (W)8.50-6.42%
LOSSGrapiuna - Feira FC8.50-0.15%
LOSSNWU Vaal FC (W) - Kaizer Chiefs (W)8.50-6.05%
LOSSBoston City FC - Western Mass Pioneers8.50-6.05%
LOSSPara Hills Knights - Croydon FC8.50-6.42%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Hertha Wels - LASK Linz18.50-6.05%27 Jun 18:30
Pick
1 @ 8.50
Kickoff
Giu 27, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -6.05% • n=54
Start
Starts in 19h 4m
Updated
Updated 5m ago
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