CA Atenas vs Penarol
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is CA Atenas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CA AtenasGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.044 | A: 0.037Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.22% based on n=43 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Cup (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
CA Atenas – Penarol Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | KFF Mitrovica (W) - FC Metalist 1925 (W) | 5.00 | 2.22% |
| LOSS | Newcastle (W) - Inter Milan (W) | 5.00 | 2.22% |
| LOSS | Zalaegerszegi TE - Ferencvarosi TC | 5.00 | 2.22% |
| WIN | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti - Metaloglobus Bucuresti | 5.00 | 2.50% |
| LOSS | Club Sanjustino - CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 5.00 | 2.22% |
| WIN | Subiaco AFC (W) - Perth Redstar FC (W) | 5.00 | 2.50% |
| WIN | ASA Aarhus (W) - AGF (W) | 5.00 | 2.22% |
| WIN | Ipswich Knights - Yeronga FC | 5.00 | 2.22% |