Subiaco AFC (W) – Perth Redstar FC (W)

Model: TipTromba6H

Subiaco AFC (W) vs Perth Redstar FC (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 28, 2026 3:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 21h 47m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.50% · n=20
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.50% · n=20
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 16m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Subiaco AFC (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Subiaco AFC (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.054 | A: 0.048

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.00First seen
Current5.33Now
Max odds5.33Highest point
Min odds5.00Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Subiaco AFC (W)HOME
VS
Perth Redstar FC (W)AWAY
LLWDL
Recent form
LWLLD
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.80
2.20
Shots on target for
5.00
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
6.80
8.40
Home splitL-L-L-L-W1.20 scored / 2.60 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-W-D1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.50% based on n=20 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia WA Premier League Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd5.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.50% · n=20
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.50% · n=20
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Subiaco AFC (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -4.3% 7D: -2.8% 15D: 12.8% 30D: 17.4%
Model insight

Subiaco AFC (W) – Perth Redstar FC (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.50% and 2.50%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample29
Win Rate27.6%
Profit+11.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINASA Aarhus (W) - AGF (W)5.002.22%
WINIpswich Knights - Yeronga FC5.002.22%
LOSSSt Pauli - Bournemouth5.252.00%
LOSSTaunton Town - Weston Super Mare5.202.50%
LOSSHebburn Town - Hartlepool5.252.00%
LOSSFirst Vienna FC 1894 - QPR5.002.22%
LOSSBayern Munich II - Legia Warsaw5.002.22%
WINErdi VSE - Kaposvari Rakoczi5.004.81%
Pick
1 @ 5.00
Kickoff
Lug 28, 2026 3:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.50% • n=20
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.50% • n=20
Start
Starts in 21h 47m
Updated
Updated 16m ago
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