CA Colegiales Reserves – CA San Telmo Reserves

Model: TIPPSA

CA Colegiales Reserves vs CA San Telmo Reserves

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.19
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 05, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3h 43m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1h 58m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CA San Telmo Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CA San Telmo ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.182 | A: 0.117

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

24/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.67First seen
Current2.37Now
Max odds2.37Highest point
Min odds1.67Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CA Colegiales ReservesHOME
VS
CA San Telmo ReservesAWAY
LLLDL
Recent form
LWWWD
Avg goals scored
0.20
1.40
Defensive weakness
2.20
0.60
Shots on target for
1.40
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
2.60
Home splitL-D-D-L-D0.40 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-D-L2.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.19. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.84% based on n=515 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional Reserve League (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.19
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to CA San Telmo Reserves's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 59.5% 7D: 32.5% 15D: 10.5% 30D: 12.9%
Model insight

CA Colegiales Reserves – CA San Telmo Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.19. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.84% across 515 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample55
Win Rate40.0%
Profit-8.23u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINMFK Zemplin Michalovce - MSK Zilina2.04-0.84%
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LOSSFerencvarosi TC - FC Twente2.20-0.84%
LOSSGuayaquil City - Universidad Catolica del Ecuador2.12-0.84%
LOSSSlavia Mozyr - Dinamo Brest2.15-0.84%
LOSSUD Alagoana (W) - Doce Mel EC (W)2.09-0.84%
LOSSDedza Dynamos - Big Bullets2.02-0.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.19
Kickoff
Ago 05, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Start
Starts in 3h 43m
Updated
Updated 1h 58m ago
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