Guayaquil City – Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

Model: TIPPSA

Guayaquil City vs Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.12
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 28, 2026 1:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 8h 7m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=235
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 6m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Universidad Catolica del Ecuador. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Universidad Catolica del EcuadorGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.095 | A: 0.031

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

20/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.87First seen
Current2.12Now
Max odds2.15Highest point
Min odds1.87Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Guayaquil CityHOME
VS
Universidad Catolica del EcuadorAWAY
DWDWL
Recent form
WWWLL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.00
Shots on target for
2.80
6.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.60
Home splitW-W-L-L-L1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-W-W1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.12. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.76% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.12
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=235
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Universidad Catolica del Ecuador has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -4.3% 7D: -2.8% 15D: 12.8% 30D: 17.4%
Model insight

Guayaquil City – Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.12. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.84% and -1.76%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample50
Win Rate42.0%
Profit-5.27u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSUD Alagoana (W) - Doce Mel EC (W)2.09-0.84%
LOSSDedza Dynamos - Big Bullets2.02-0.84%
LOSSNK Triglav Kranj - HNK Segesta2.12-0.84%
WINFC Emmen - FC Twente2.10-0.84%
LOSSNingbo Professional U20 - Hubei Istar U202.05-0.84%
LOSSPittsburgh Riverhounds - Louisville City FC2.21-0.84%
LOSSAthlone Town U20 - Derry City U202.24-0.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.12
Kickoff
Lug 28, 2026 1:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.76% • n=235
Start
Starts in 8h 7m
Updated
Updated 3h 6m ago
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