Model: TIPPSH

CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau EC

PREDICTION

@ 4.10

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 20, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 51d 15h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.56% · n=52

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.56% · n=52

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 51d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CA Metropolitano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CA Metropolitano

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

62/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.75First seen

Current4.10Now

Max odds4.10Highest point

Min odds3.55Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CA MetropolitanoHOME

Blumenau ECAWAY

WLLWD

Recent form

LLWLD

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.20

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.60

Shots on target for

5.00

2.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

4.20

Home splitW-L-W-D1.50 scored / 0.75 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-L-W1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.10. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.56% based on n=52 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Catarinense 2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.10

V2 BandHIGHROI 5.56% · n=52

V4 BandHIGHROI 5.56% · n=52

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, CA Metropolitano has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. CA Metropolitano has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -4.8% 7D: 15.1% 15D: 5.3% 30D: 0.6%

Model insight

CA Metropolitano – Blumenau EC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.56% and 5.56%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample3

Win Rate0.0%

Profit-3.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Guangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan	4.11	5.87%
LOSS	Ragsveds IF - Enkopings SK	4.20	5.56%
LOSS	Lyn 1896 U19 - Molde U19	3.90	5.87%

Pick

1 @ 4.10

Kickoff

Mag 20, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 5.56% • n=52

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

5.56% • n=52

Start

Started 51d 15h ago

Updated

Updated 51d 17h ago