Model: TipTromba3H

CA Patrocinense vs Democrata SL

PREDICTION

@ 2.55

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 19, 2026 5:30 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 4

StartStarted 44d 16h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=230

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CA Patrocinense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CA PatrocinenseGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.55First seen

Current2.57Now

Max odds2.57Highest point

Min odds2.55Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CA PatrocinenseHOME

Democrata SLAWAY

LLLWL

Recent form

WDWLW

Avg goals scored

0.60

2.40

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.80

Shots on target for

6.00

5.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

5.20

Home splitL-L-L-D-D0.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-D-L-L-D1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.55. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of 0.00% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.55

V2 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=230

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 33.7% 7D: 15.7% 15D: 9.9% 30D: 19.5%

Model insight

CA Patrocinense – Democrata SL Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of 0.00% across 230 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample25

Win Rate32.0%

Profit-4.19u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz - FC Silon Taborsko	2.55	0.00%
WIN	Rapid Vienna - Hamburg	2.60	0.00%
LOSS	Cardiff MU - Brackley	2.63	0.00%
WIN	Hearts - Rayo Vallecano	2.55	0.00%
WIN	Newcastle Olympic FC - Belmont Swansea United SC	2.63	0.00%
LOSS	Canterbury Bankstown FC - Blacktown Spartans	2.70	0.00%
LOSS	Eastern Lions - Bayside Argonauts FC	2.60	0.00%
LOSS	Buenos Aires City - Ezeiza	2.55	0.00%

Pick

1 @ 2.55

Kickoff

Lug 19, 2026 5:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.00% • n=230

Start

Started 44d 16h ago

Updated

Updated 45d 6h ago