Retro FC Brasil – America RN

Model: TIPPSA

Retro FC Brasil vs America RN

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.47
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarted 72d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 72d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is America RN. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: America RN

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

42/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.10First seen
Current2.47Now
Max odds3.10Highest point
Min odds2.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Retro FC BrasilHOME
VS
America RNAWAY
WLWDD
Recent form
LWLDW
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.00
Shots on target for
4.40
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
2.20
Home splitW-D2.00 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitL-W-W1.00 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.47. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.31% based on n=578 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Nordeste (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.47
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -18.1% 7D: 6.6% 15D: 2.3% 30D: 13.7%
Model insight

Retro FC Brasil – America RN Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.47. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample158
Win Rate40.5%
Profit-0.64u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
WINSantamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre2.654.13%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
WINMaldives - Afghanistan2.634.13%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
Pick
2 @ 2.47
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 72d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 72d 14h ago
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