FC Dordrecht vs Ajax Reserves
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FC Dordrecht. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FC DordrechtGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.053 | A: -0.055Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.74. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eerste Divisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. FC Dordrecht is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
FC Dordrecht – Ajax Reserves Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Calcutta Customs - Railways FC | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Cove | 1.66 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Chungnam Asan FC - Ansan Greeners FC | 1.63 | -4.66% |
| WIN | Penarol - Montevideo Wanderers | 1.71 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Mylliem SC - Laitkor SC | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | VJS Vantaa - PK Keski-Uusimaa | 1.71 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic - Beijing Institute | 1.66 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Gornik Leczna - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1.63 | -4.66% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| SK Artis Brno B - SFK Vrchovina | 1 | 1.75 | -9.21% | 07 Aug 17:30 |
| Banik Most-Sous - FK Teplice B | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 07 Aug 18:00 |
| Middelfart - Brabrand | 1 | 1.64 | -10.11% | 07 Aug 18:30 |
| Sport Huancayo - CD Los Chankas | 1 | 1.63 | -9.21% | 07 Aug 20:00 |
| FC Blau Weiss Linz - FC Wacker Innsbruck | 1 | 1.63 | -9.21% | 07 Aug 20:30 |
| Shamrock Rovers - Dundalk | 1 | 1.66 | -4.66% | 07 Aug 21:00 |